8/27 Early Oscar Forecast

I'm only covering Picture, Director and Acting as of now. Above the line are current predicted nominees, below are possible spoilers. It's very early in the game so expect these to change. For Best Picture I put the minimum five above the line and other potential nominees below. Things like "Life of Pi" are below the line because of a high risk/reward factor.

NOTE: These picks are based on what the Academy is likely to nominate, not what may or may not be the actual "best" in their respective categories.

Best Picture

Beasts of the Southern Wild
Lincoln
Les Miserables
The Master
Argo

Anna Karenina
To the Wonder
The Sessions
Life of Pi
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained
Zero Dark Thirty
The Impossible
Amour

Best Director
Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Paul Thomas Anderson – The Master
Ben Affleck – Argo
Ang Lee – Life of Pi
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Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
Terrance Malick – To The Wonder
Joe Wright – Anna Karenina
Michael Haneke – Amour
Tom Hooper – Les Miserables

Best Actor
Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
John Hawks – The Sessions
Denzel Washington - Flight
Bill Murray – Hyde Park on Hudson

Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
Jaime Foxx – Django Unchained
Ralph Finnes – Great Expectations
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook

Best ActressQuvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
Helen Hunt – The Sessions

Maggie Smith - Quartet
Laura Linney – Hyde Park on Hudson
Viola Davis – Won’t Back Down

Best Supporting Actor
Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Matthew McCounaghey – Magic Mike
Dwight Henry – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Jude Law – Anna Karenina
Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained

Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
Russell Crowe – Les Miserables
Bryan Cranston – Argo
David Strathairn - Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress 
Amy Adams – The Master
Sally Field – Lincoln
Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Olivia Williams – Hyde Park on Hudson
Rachel Weisz – To The Wonder

Emily Watson – Anna Karenina
Kerry Washington – Django Unchained
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook